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Tennessee Firefly

Shining a light on education & government in Tennessee

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  1. TNFirefly
  2. ›Governor's Race
LIVE TRACKER

Tennessee's Next Governor

The definitive tracker for the 2026 gubernatorial race. Candidates, polls, campaign finance, endorsements, and what it all means for Tennessee's kids and schools.

Data last updated: May 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
✓
Filing Complete
92
Days to Primary
181
Days to Election
12
Declared Candidates

Last Updated May 5, 2026 · Data from TN Secretary of State, Registry of Election Finance, and public sources

GOP Primary Leader
60.6%
Blackburn
Rose at 8.1% · 26.1% undecided
See all polls →
Money in the Race
$2.77M
total raised across all candidates
John Rose$1.46M
Marsha Blackburn$1.24M
Lauren Pinkston$69K
Contributions raised
Through January 31, 2026
Follow the money →
In the Race
12
declared candidates
4R4D4I
Meet the candidates →
Endorsements
28
endorsements tracked
Who's backing whom, and who's staying silent.
See endorsements →
TSS Statewide Survey · February 2026

What Tennessee Voters Think

Tennessee Firefly is a product of Tennesseans for Student Success (TSS). These findings come from their statewide survey of 500 registered voters (±4.38% margin of error, 95% confidence).

Full poll results →
Testing & Accountability

81% say annual student testing matters. 87% want schools held accountable. 77% oppose removing exams.

4 out of 5 voters say testing is important. 70% support the A-F school grading system. Voters want MORE accountability, not less.

School Choice

71% support public school choice. 82% support open enrollment. 61% would send their child to a different school.

When cost and location barriers are removed, a clear majority say they'd leave their zoned school. 55% want state intervention in poor-performing schools.

Spending & Efficiency

64% say education funds are NOT being spent efficiently. Blame is split across local boards, fraud, and regulations.

Nearly two-thirds of voters believe education dollars are not being spent efficiently. Blame is spread nearly evenly: local boards (31%), fraud (26%), and government regulations (25%).

Career Readiness

52% say students are NOT prepared for college or a well-paying job. Two-thirds say keep the Algebra II requirement.

A majority has lost confidence in the graduation pipeline. 67% reject lowering the academic bar, even for workforce pathways. 39% say they lack information about career paths.

The Race Right Now

Blackburn leads early polling, but a quarter of Republican voters haven't decided.

Senator Marsha Blackburn holds 60.6% in the latest Republican primary poll, with John Rose at 8.1% and Monty Fritts at 5.1%. But 26% of GOP primary voters remain undecided, a bloc large enough to reshape the race entirely. On the Democratic side, Jerri Green is the only candidate with elected office experience and a meaningful fundraising operation, but faces a significant gap against the Republican frontrunner.

The defining policy divide: the Education Freedom Scholarship. Blackburn and Rose support expansion. Fritts, the only Republican opposed, calls it “fiscally irresponsible.” Green calls it “welfare for the rich.” The next governor will decide the future of Tennessee's most controversial education program.

Education Stances →All Candidates →
From TNFirefly
All coverage →
May 1TNFIREFLY

Here’s Who’s Running for Memphis-Shelby County Schools District 1

May 1TNFIREFLY

Jerri Green Wants to Strengthen Special Education, End “Welfare for the Wealthy”

Apr 24TNFIREFLY

Legislative Session Wraps with Late Drama, Key Reforms, Historic Investments

Apr 23TNFIREFLY

State Oversight of Memphis-Shelby County Schools Heads to Governor’s Desk

Explore the Tracker

Race Hub
Overview & countdown
Candidates
All 12 candidates
Polls & Ratings
Latest polling data
Education Stances
Where they stand
Endorsements
Who's backing whom
Campaign Finance
Follow the money
Timeline
How we got here
Watchlist
Who's still out there
The Signal

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About this tracker

This tracker is produced by The Tennessee Firefly, an independent, nonpartisan news outlet covering education and government in Tennessee. We don't endorse candidates. We don't take political ads. We follow the money, the policy, and the people who shape your kids' schools. All data comes from official filings, verified reporting, and on-the-record sources. Last updated March 17, 2026.